Go West; NU football “bracket” bodes well

Fitz rejoices arms up Gator Bowl '13

Go West, NU Football “Bracket” Bodes Well

ESPN.com’s Adam Rittenberg has been Johnny on the Spot when it comes to all things B1G football. Yesterday, he reported the realignment and renaming of the much discussed B1G football divisions will likely be a mostly geographic east/west split.  Much to the delight of many fans, the names will likely be changed to “East” and “West”.  Michigan and Ohio State will be in the same division, thus eliminating the fear they could play in back-to-back games (final game of season and then B1G championship), while Indiana and Purdue are still being tossed around as to which one goes west and which one goes east.

The realignment will take place for the 2014 season to accommodate the entrance of newcomers Rutgers and Maryland.  In my opinion, this is a potential gamechanger for Northwestern.  Consider our potential division:

WEST

  • Northwestern
  • Nebraska
  • Wisconsin
  • Iowa
  • Minnesota
  • Illinois
  • Purdue (or Indiana)

Meanwhile, it should come as no surprise that those teams in the proposed East are squawking quite a bit about the potential imbalance.  Take a look:

EAST

  • Michigan
  • Ohio State
  • Penn State
  • Michigan State
  • Rutgers
  • Maryland
  • Indiana (or Purdue)

I’ll take the West for 200, Alec.  I’ve got to believe based on historical performance that Indiana goes to the East, while Purdue goes to the West.  From a Northwestern fan’s point of view, we should be sending thank you cards to Park Ridge.  It’s as if Jim Delany’s crew took a look at Northwestern’s recent historical Achilles heel teams and shoved them in the opposite division for us.  About the only complaint you could have is the large New York area fan base will only get to see us play at Rutgers once every six years or so.

If you look at this through the Pat Fitzgerald era lens, five of the six opponents in our proposed division rank in the top six of Fitz’s winning percentage.  Here is the order of our head-to-head for all 11 opponents in Fitz’s seven years:

Indiana: 5-1

Minnesota:  5-1

Iowa: 5-2

Illinois: 4-3

Nebraska: 1-1

Purdue: 2-3

Wisconsin: 1-2

Michigan State: 2-5

Michigan: 1-4

Ohio State: 0-3

Penn State: 0-5

Holy smokes. How ‘bout them apples? I bolded the proposed West teams above. Obviously, things change and the balance of power on any given year (see: Michigan, Iowa 2008) can shift, but all things considered, a quick glance of our division and most fans will put Nebraska and Wisconsin 1-2, if you’re looking at recent tradition.  Most would probably put Iowa ahead of NU (from a record standpoint), but not even Iowa fans could put them ahead of us based on our mastery of them and the fact most are “arrow down” on the program after their 4-8 debacle in 2012.

It looks promising that we’ll be moving towards a 9-game schedule, starting as early as 2016, which would mean three crossover games per year (in addition to six division games).  There is so much that will come in to play on any given season based on that variable, it is really hard to judge potential schedules until then.  The fact remains, the B1G folks will do their best to balance, and likely will try to eliminate WEST teams from playing, say, Ohio State, Michigan and Michigan State (or Penn State if they remain any good) in the same year.

I probably weigh history way too much. I loathe playing Penn State for this reason. They own us.  We’ve beaten Ohio State once in my entire lifetime.  Any scenario that us playing those two teams less is fine by me.  Meanwhile, based on only two games, I think we’ve got a rivalry brewing with Nebraska. Two games, two nailbiters and split decisions.  We already have their fans’ respect, which has been hard to come by against many other opponents. Plus, I feel that there is a mini-rivalry with Wisconsin based on our .500 record against them over the past 20+ years, along with some really classic finishes on both sides.

Overall, if you take the top four teams in each division and compare their past five years, it supports the strength of opponents atop these divisions is overblown (people forget about Iowa’s success and Michigan’s struggles).  When you inject the traditional success and play it forward, that’s where fans say “whoa”, hold on a second.  And of course, Northwestern is likely underrated by most fans when looking at the two divisions. Just the way we like it.

Tribune Buzz

I meant to post the front page of the Chicago Tribune Sports paper version yesterday.  As you know, Teddy Greenstein posted an article about Northwestern’s facilities, specifically Welsh-Ryan, and explored what kind of negative impact it had on recruiting. The wide shot interior photo of Welsh-Ryan, from a 2006 practice, took up about two-thirds of the page and had many of my non-Northwestern friends emailing me and talking to me about it.  Teddy used Jim Phillips’ quotes about the discussion of its impact being overblown and also cited the fact anything  relating to Central Street (home of Welsh-Ryan Arena) wouldn’t happen until the completion of the Lakeside practice facility, which won’t be complete until 2015.  To me, the interesting part of the article was hearing from multiple current Ohio State players Lenzelle Smith Jr., Shannon Scott and Sam Thompson, who had different points of view on its impact.  All three, according to Greenstein, had the grades to get in to NU and were recruited by the ‘Cats.  Yet, Lenzelle gave the quote we all feared:

“When you take visits as a young kid, you want to see flashier things, new things,” Smith said during the 2012 Big Ten tournament. “Big things catch your eyes. You imagine yourself using those facilities. Hands-down, Ohio State has some top-of-the-line stuff. It’s two different worlds.” – Lenzelle Smith Jr., Chicago Tribune March 19, 2013

Teddy used his Medill skills to be fair in the article and used this Shannon Scott quote to balance Smith’s take:

“You notice it a little, but it’s not that bad. It’s a regular gym, an OK spot.”

Personally, while I think Welsh-Ryan would be painted as Cameron-like, if we were a perennial Tourney team, the bigger issue seems to be practice facilities among recruits’ perceptions.  Jim Phillips and company have the market research on what fans want at Welsh-Ryan (would love to see those results) and if it had wider concourses, better concessions, seats instead of bleachers, and a 21st century scoreboard, I’d be more than fine with it.

 

Glass Half Full

Jim Phillips has been criss-crossing the country to meet with the Sina family and the Taphorn family.  As we talked about yesterday, the Sinas asked to be released from the national letter of intent, which Jim agreed to on the spot.  Jaren has not ruled out Northwestern, but is clearly looking at other options.  He will make a decision by April 17.  Phillips then got from New Jersey to Nate Taphorn’s hometown of Pekin, Illinois, several hours south of Chicago.  The good news here is that Taphorn was genuinely moved by Phillips’ gesture and did not ask out of his letter of intent as he plans to stay at Northwestern, according to Scout’s Nick Medline.  It’s some much needed good news on the basketball front.

LTP Tourney Pool

Remember, sign up to be a part of the free LTP Tourney Pool on ESPN.com.  Simply register your name and then search “LTP Tourney Pool” and enter the password: gatorbowlchamps and pick away.  I’ll be curious how many of you end up picking Miami to win it all like I did.  Now that I said that, you probably are better off not picking Miami to advance past round one!

 

  • cece

    while many will say that the division has Nebraska and Wisconsin vs. Ohio State and Michigan, we can do this!!!! it is, after all, the west coast of Lake Michigan on which NU sits.

  • Peter

    As a Northwestern fan that lives in Michigan, I will be quite disappointed with this split. I like to see the Wildcats play Michigan and Michigan State every year. Furthermore, I don’t care to see NU play in a weaker division because it might bode well for their record. I would rather see them play powerhouse teams. Let’s be clear, nobody wants to see NU play indiana all the time because they can win that game most times. Nebraska will fill up the empty seats in any given year, but it will probably mean Ryan Field will not be full for most other games.

    Also, wouldn’t be much more advantageous for NU to play the teams from the East coast (Rutgers & Maryland) more often than not?

    • bd005

      While playing in the east would be good for NU’s profile since the NE has the highest concentration of top HS students, being a consistent winner (and the press coverage that follows) would make up for that, and besides, it’s not like the ‘Cats won’t ever play PSU, RU and UMD.

      Also, the best on-field rivalries have been with Iowa, Wisconsin and MSU (lose MSU, but gain UW) with the UNL game having the potential to grow into another one.

  • Smolmania

    A group of my fraternity brothers traveled to Durham for the Duke game a couple of years ago. On our way over to the tailgate, we stopped at Cameron to check it out – there was a volleyball game going on. When we went inside, I thought I was in Patten Gym. The place is an absolute dump, and yet Coach K gets 2-4 McDonald’s All Americans every year. Be real, people, W-R Arena is not the source of our troubles. Let’s pay the guy from Bucknell a market wage for a Big Ten coach, play some defense, get a few rebounds, and give us all a chance to pick our team in a bracket.

    • bd005

      Give me a break.

      Duke’s EVERDAY facilities for BB are among the best in the nation.

      Why do you think Fitz pretty much threatened that he might look elsewhere if he didn’t get new M-F FB facilities (and ON the MAIN campus to boot)?

      Prior to the modest renovations done in 2008 (which, btw, not coincidentally coincided with the uptick in recruiting), Carmody had to make up EXCUSES for recruits NOT to see the everyday BB facilities.

      How many coaches of high-major programs, much less most mid-majors, had to do that?

      As for Duke recruiting, they have history/tradition, not to mention lower admission standards for recruits.

      Gee, I recall a former Duke BB coach (who took them to the championship game) by the name of Bill Foster who did nothing at NU (finishing with a 54-141 record).

      • Kevin

        What renovations were done in 2008?

        • http://twitter.com/LakeThePosts Lake The Posts

          They redid the lockerrooms and added a new bball office behind W-R next to the practice court. It is a very nice “trailer” looking facility. North side within arena behind bleachers.

      • Peter

        I don’t know how this comment section turned into discussion on the basketball facilities, but Northwestern needs to make an improvement here. Sure, Northwestern is a great school, but that is the only thing being offered to recruits. They don’t expect to win at Northwestern. On top of that, they have to spend most of their time in facilities that are not on par with any other team in their conference.

        I love football, but an investment in basketball can have such a greater return on investment than football because of the lower costs associated with running a basketball program. Unlike football, where so many factors are in play to get a program just to be competitive, it is not nearly as mystical of a path to get a basketball program to be successful. One good coach who can get one or two good players every year can turn a losing program into a winner.

  • http://twitter.com/daCoachRoy Coach Roy

    On the new alignment – NU has a couple of big ($$) Alumni Organizations in both DC (Maryland) and NY (Rutgers). Not sure how they rank but they used to be right below Chicago in total numbers (there are a lot of alums in LA too). At least they will now get BTN on their sports tier.

    On Facilities – W-R probably could become a “death valley” type place, but to make it work, our fans would have to fill 85-90% of the seats the way Maryland used to do or the way MSU and Michigan (and Indy) do at home now. There are games I’ve watched on TV from Evanston where you thought you were at the other guy’s house at the end of the game – and that is not good.

    On Facilities 2 – how many B1G teams practice on their actual playing court? I know NU does, but then the practice court in the back is not the greatest looking setup. (with screens and curtains) Moving the practice facility to the lakefront would go a long way to helping with the image, IMHO.

    Go Cats

    • NUinVa

      If they do protected crossovers, I hope they tie us to Maryland so the DC and Va clubs can see our ‘Cats play every other year. As Roy said, there would be lots of purple in the crowd.

    • Chasmo

      Coach Roy makes a good point about McGaw Hall and one that Tex Winter made when he first arrived at NU. Tex said an old fashioned “gym” can be an excellent selling point to recruits because of its unique character but Tex (and Roy) said the key is having the place packed with NU fans so it becomes a very uncomfortable place for opponents. Remember — the players won’t be sitting in the stands; they be sitting on the bench. So while fans might complain about McGaw’s lousy seats, the players won’t.
      Jim Phillips is correct when he says McGaw itself isn’t a major problem. If NU has a nice locker room and other acceptable facilities plus a coach who can make the potential recruits believe without evidence, NU basketball should be able to qualify for the NCAA tournament. If that happens, perhaps NU will finally have the game day atmosphere that does turn McGaw into a pit that other teams fear.

      • http://twitter.com/LakeThePosts Lake The Posts

        Dan Dakich has told me in person how much he felt W-R was the best home court advantage. Told me the quips from the student section had he and Bob Knight laughing and often commenting about it each year when they returned.

        • http://twitter.com/daCoachRoy Coach Roy

          If the seats at W-R were packed with 8,000 purple clad maniacs, the way MSU packs in the white and green shirts, W-R would be a very hard place to win on the road. But when the Indy fans or the MSU fans can organize cheers like they are at home… we wind up playing our entire B1G season “on the road.”

  • JM

    Too much is made over how the competitive balance looks right now. When the SEC divisons were made, the worry was that Florida and Tennessee were the two powers that couldn’t be in the same division, and we all know what LSU and Alabama had to say about that. The fact is, PSU and MSU are likely trending down a bit, and Iowa (which had multiple BCS appearances in the last decade) will be back eventually. And, oh, Wisconsin happens to have the last three B1G trophies anyhow.

    As an NU fan, I like that we will continue to play the bulk of our games against schools in driving distance, which not only keeps road trips possible but also gives us a better gameday atmosphere at Ryan Field. I am bummed to lose an annual game with Michigan, which has been involved in some of our “classics,” but we keep rivalry games with Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois and (though its new) Nebraska, and that’s pretty good.

  • cece

    another kind of chapter in NU vs. Illinois…..Tim Doyle gets it from Kendall Gill

    http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/basketball/bulls/chi-chicago-bulls-kendall-gill-20130320,0,7059421.story

    • Alaskawildcat

      Must be more to the story as the link didn’t clarify who hit whom. As to the verbal issues sounds like Kendall didn’t “get it” with regard to how the goal tending rule was interpreted by the official and he was miffed at Tim Doyle setting him straight on air.

  • ChrisCollins

    IF the product on the court is improves thus drawing Wildcat fans, Welsh-Ryan can become “intimate” and a borderline advantage until a new arena is built. The reason why it seems like a disadvantage now is because the team is poor, there’s 0 to get excited about thus no one shows up (myself included admittedly). All the more reason a change was warranted now. The practice facilities and other amenities concern me more than the actual gameday court/arena (that’s not what had been holding me back). Honestly, I could care less about the width of the concourses and players probably wouldn’t either if there were other nice features that catered to them. And that’s what we should be doing at this point … making investments that are targeted at the player/student athlete experience. The fans will come if we win.

    And yes, get a new scoreboard (because it’s a joke). One would think that could be transferred to a new arena less the new wiring required in WR.

  • Alaskawildcat

    I wonder if the Purdue/Indiana ambiguity remains because of the potential that two more geographically located East teams will be added to the mix allowing both the Boilermakers and Hoosiers to remain in the West where they geographically belong.