Waiting for Nikola Cerina

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It was one of the simpler reads in Northwestern’s Princeton offense Wednesday night that resulted in Nikola Cerina’s only score against Michigan. It was notable only because it was a dunk for the TCU transfer — and another sign of expectations the team has failed to reach because of injuries.

Cerina, late in that game against Michigan, slipped a screen as the point guard drew his defender away from him. He whipped the ball down low to Cerina who had all the time and space in the world to finish at the rim.

Seeing Cerina on the floor has been a rare site. He has appeared in only seven games for an average of 4.1 minutes per game. Cerina has scored only nine total points. It was not like Cerina was expected to do a whole ton — his statistics at TCU were meager at best at nearly six points per game and four rebounds per game in about 20 minutes per game. How much of a bump up could Northwestern expect from the transfer when he took the court for NU?

The effect of Cerina’s bothersome sprained ankle has been felt throughout the roster. In the offseason, Bill Carmody called Cerina the most athletic player on the roster. That kind of skill would certainly be useful — even in the starting lineup. Alex Olah and Mike Turner have struggled mightily this season, particularly with rebounding as the two average a combined 6.1 rebounds per game. If Olah were to play even 10 extra minutes and maintained his average, he could very well average that many rebounds on his own.

Cerina’s presence certainly would have helped Olah ease into the college game. Who knows how Olah would have developed with more limited minutes and a chance to feel out the game more. Cerina’s experience playing at the college level would have been a boost certainly.

And it probably would have led to some more rebounding help so that the team would not have to rely almost solely on Jared Swopshire attacking the glass. He is already out of position playing power forward (especially since his 3-point shooting is inconsistent) and now even further out of position playing some more center.

The Wildcats have certainly continued to wait and wait for Cerina to get more consistent playing time. He sprained his ankle in a practice earlier in the year and has not quite been back. Bill Carmody has been hesitant to throw him into the rotation without seeing a “good practice” from him. That is fair, but Northwestern could certainly use a healthy Cerina and all the size and potential he can give this now-young team.

And Cerina is itching to get more playing time too in doing everything he can to get back onto the floor, as he describes in this article from Chris Emma of Scout. Cerina told Emma that he feels every minute he is on the bench is a minute lost where he could help. You like that attitude. But Carmody was adamant that while Cerina is cleared to play, he still is not running right or practicing well to give him faith that he can contribute.

Swopshire though confirmed the reports of Cerina’s all-around athleticism calling Cerina “hands-down” the strongest player on the team.

Health certainly plays a role in Cerina staying out. Some of it might very well be the coaching staff feeling uncomfortable with the risk of throwing him out there. Perhaps Olah and Michael Turner are simply beating Cerina in practice.

If Olah and Turner continue to struggle though, Carmody will need to mix up the lineup some. And at some point he has to have the confidence to try Cerina. There appears to be a lot he can provide the Wildcats if he is healthy. At least in theory. The problem is we just will not know until Cerina gets his chance.

The unfortunate part is that it might not come until his final year of eligibility next year.

Count this as another strike of bad luck for the Wildcats. Even if he were just another big body, his presence would be a boost for the program as a guy who has been with the team for a year and knows how to play the college game and play Northwestern’s style while allowing the young players to ease into the game more.

  • Just the Facts

    Wouldn’t it be better for Cerina to take an injury redshirt at this point and come back strong next year with Crawford and Cobb? I don’t know if he can get another redshirt since he is already listed as a redshirt junior (or if it is already too late in the season) but I thought you could if due to injury.

  • Alum Dad

    It shows how little there is to talk about with this year’s team when a player that has scored 9 points all season gets an entire article.

  • Chasmo

    Northwestern fans are in love with the idea that its team’s best players are guys who’ve never played. We talk about how great Cerina would have been or how great Lumpkin would have been if not for injuries, etc. etc.
    NU fans have to start taking everything said about players on this team with a grain of salt. We were told that Olah was the best center to sign with NU since Eschmeyer and Carmody claimed that with Olah, NU would finally be able to throw the ball into the post and have a player who could score. Really?
    But NU fans don’t learn.
    Now it’s Cerina who would be such a great player if only he hadn’t gotten hurt. Now that Cerina is starting to get playing time and he demonstrates how limited his skills are, NU fans will move on the Lumpkin, who most certainly would have been great if not for that injury.

    • das420

      This is one of the single greatest problems with NU Basketball. I don’t want to denigrate some of the really solid student athletes that have played for us over the years, but, at the same time, the degree to which we revere very average basketball players isn’t doing anything to help push this program forward. Can’t we get a little bit more discerning as fans? We accept–no, we almost exalt–mediocrity. I know plenty of fans feel it’s wrong to harshly criitcize student athletes, but can we not at least be honest about their limitations? Shouldn’t we want a little more as fans? Or, are we happy to simply wax poetically about the exploits of our “grindy” little team?

    • http://www.facebook.com/prossmanreich Philip Rossman-Reich

      This is a really good point. It is the backup quarterback syndrome for sure. You want what you don’t have.

      Bill Carmody and all the players were talking wonders about this guy. But there is no telling whether he would have been just another also-ran NU big man or if he could really make a difference. It definitely would have changed how Olah and Turner developed.

      Just another what if…

  • Mark

    Somebody should write a history of NU basketball titled “Wait Til Next Year: We’ll Be Good.” Honestly, it gets old.

  • bandcat

    If Cerina is close to 100% he needs the time now..Spot him an Olah the rest of the way…Plug Turner in as a last resort…Mike neeeds more time in practice to have a shot at the lineup..Cerina looks to have only one more year of eligibility, Turner two. Bill got hung up with Luka who must have looked good in practice. Maybe he has the opposite here with Cerina. Keep force feeding Olah the ball. He needs the game time reps for Next Year.

  • J

    Another Carmody mystery!

  • http://www.facebook.com/roy.lamberton Roy Lamberton

    Sports fans love to play “What Could Have Been” with injured players, especially at the college level.

    We seem to take the coach’s words at signing day as pure gospel and expect the player to become the next star, sight unseen playing in the B1G.

    If Cerina can’t run the floor well, he can’t play defense, and if he leaves early to play D, there’s nobody underneath to pick up the rebound.

    I had hoped that Cerina was going to be the short term answer at center – yes, he didn’t score much at TCU but he was a Soph when he left. Remember some players don’t develop until they are Juniors or even Seniors (Hearn comes to mind). When he signed with the Cats, I really expected him to be the man in the middle for 2 years, as the other big men learned the system and got more confidence against some of the B1G’s stars.

    Now we’re in a situation where next year we’ll have 3 big men on a team with a system where you usually use 2.

  • http://www.facebook.com/roy.lamberton Roy Lamberton

    BTW – I had a kid who never practiced well – they tried to cut him from the Middle School team but he stuck around and was starting by the 3rd game. He Made the varsity as a freshman, started for 2 years, then played 4 years of college, but he never practiced “well.” He just knew all the blocking assignments and executed during games.

    Maybe Cerina is that kind of player?